Predicting Mosquito Flight Behavior

Interactive companion to Predicting mosquito flight behavior using Bayesian dynamical systems learning (2026) — MIT, Georgia Tech & UC Riverside

Mosquitoes transmit diseases like malaria, dengue, and Zika, causing over 700,000 deaths every year. To understand how they find us, we tracked thousands of mosquitoes in 3D using infrared cameras, then used a Bayesian machine learning technique to build a mathematical model of their flight. This simulation lets you interact with that learned model and see, in real time, how mosquitoes respond to different sensory cues.

Sensory Cues Studied in This Work

Vision

Attraction to dark objects

CO2

Response to exhaled carbon dioxide

Vision + CO2

Combined cues, as with a real human

None
Visual
Visual+CO2
CO2
3
Mosquito Type 1
Tim Circle
Click the canvas to move the target
(mosquito response may be slightly delayed)
Switch models to see different flight behaviors Drag the slider to add more mosquitoes
Cannot connect to simulation backend

Key Findings from the Paper

53 million+

3D data points collected — the largest mosquito tracking dataset ever created, covering more than 477,000 flight trajectories.

1 + 1 ≠ 2

Visual and CO2 cues don't simply add up linearly. When combined, they trigger a distinct host-seeking behavior that can't be explained by either cue alone.

Predictive Model

The learned model accurately reproduces real mosquito flight around humans, opening the door to better-designed traps and repellents.

About the Research

"Predicting mosquito flight behavior using Bayesian dynamical systems learning"
Christopher Zuo*, Chenyi Fei*, Alexander E. Cohen*, Soohwan Kim, Ring T. Cardé, Jörn Dunkel & David L. Hu
MIT · Georgia Institute of Technology · UC Riverside · 2025

Funded by the NSF Physics of Living Systems network, Schmidt Sciences (Polymath Award), the MIT MathWorks Professorship Fund, and the Department of Defense NDSEG Fellowship.